Global coronavirus cases have exceeded 11 million, according to a Reuters tally, marking another milestone in the spread of the disease that has killed more than 500,000 people in seven months.
The number of cases is more than double the figure for severe influenza illnesses recorded annually, according to the World Health Organisation.
Many hard-hit countries are easing lockdowns put in place to slow the spread of the coronavirus while making extensive…
Macron – Australian Associated Press
French President Emmanuel Macron has promised angry crowds in Lebanon’s shattered capital that aid to rebuild the city would not go to “corrupt hands” and urged the political authorities to carry out reforms.
Macron travelled straight to Beirut after the biggest blast in its history tore through the city, killing at least 145 people, injuring 5,000 and leaving a swathe of the capital in tatters.
After visiting the port at the epicentre of the blast,…
Northern Chinese City Issues Health Warning After Resident Dies of Plague – Caixin Global
One resident of a village in Inner Mongolia died of enteric plague, but no other infections have been discovered
Authorities in a city in North Chinas Inner Mongolia autonomous region have sealed off a village and issued a public health warning after one resident died of plague.
The Baotou health committee said in a statement (link in Chinese) on Thursday that the patient, who died of circulatory system failure on Sunday, was confirmed to have contracted enteric plague, a rare form of plague that attacks the digestive system.
Local health officials have closed off the village where the patient lived and …
Get on top of the outbreaks and numbers will start to drop rapidly – The Age
It is not surprising that we haven’t yet seen a big dent in new case numbers because there are still many cases being found that are linked to existing outbreaks, and these will mask any reductions in the background rate.
All these modifications require edits to parameters in the model, including, most importantly, the rate of transmission, or effective reproductive rate.
In an evolving outbreak where evidence on intervention effectiveness is still being built, this is a challenge, and models need ongoing adjustment and fine tuning, with real-time analysis of new daily data strengthening predictions.
So models arent going to tell us how many cases we will have on Sunday, or over the next week, but the more we u…
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