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Why AFL form is so unpredictable


I have been talking about AFL form for longer than I can care to remember – since about the mid-1990s at least – and it’s always the same every year.
Form between sides will always fail and upsets guaranteed to happen.
Form can fail because sides get a harder draw than their immediate opponents.
Sides can and will defeat roughies, which will inevitably suggest that any side can win based on mainly two things:

that the favourite is struggling to win or is involved in four-goal games either way over a number of weeks; or
that the roughie is a lot better than the previous year and can win multiple games in a row that can last anything from six to 12 weeks.

Every year after three or…


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